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I got these for my uncle because I remember them being his favorite when I was a kid. I was Mortified!
My childhood memory is tarnished and no longer pure. Congestion and delays at Australian ports may put them out of the export arena until April, according to some reports.
Early calls for this afternoon's session: Wheat down c, corn flat to down 1c and soybeans steady to 2c firmer.
New data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders makes grim reading and reflects just how tight getting a mortgage has become.
The number of purchased home loans dipped from 1,, in to , in , that was the lowest level since Loans for first-time buyers also plummeted by ,, with , in to , in It is also the highest level of average deposit put down by first-time buyers since the CML's records started back in Early estimates for the Russian grain harvest peg the crop in the region of 91mmt, some 16mmt below production in SovEcon, an analytical centre that studies the grain market, released its first preliminary forecast on February 6, predicting a harvest of mmt.
Unlike ministries in other countries, the Russian Agriculture Ministry does not issue any official forecasts for the current year's harvest.
The harvest is expected to be split roughly between winter and spring sown grains. India's leading Hindu cultural group, the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh, has developed a drink called Gau Jal, or Cow Water, which is says is a healthy alternative to Pepsi.
The only problem is what it's made from. And there's more, they don't just drink the urine either Holy sh! There isn't a lot of change in the overnight eCBOT markets this morning.
As freight rates continue to rise, the Baltic Dry Index was up for the 17th day in a row yesterday, importers are coming in for cover before things get worse.
South Korea are in the market to buy ,mmt of corn and 55,mmt of soybean meal. Egypt are in for at least 55, tons of wheat.
China's Vice Agriculture Minister Wei Chaoan says that the government is confident of a good harvest in despite the drought, and that he doesn't anticipate a problem as the government has adequate supplies to counter any shortfall.
Ar you familiar with the expression "methinks thou doth protesteth too much" Wei? Is that burning smell your trousers or the wheat fields behind you?
Congestion at Australian ports may well redirect some shipping interest away from that region so the US and EU may pick up a bit of extra wheat business on that back of that.
A stronger dollar looks like capping any rally attempts in Chicago, not that this will help UK prices too much today with the pound about as popular as piles.
London wheat should find enough impetus from an ailing sterling to move a little higher. The pound is sharply lower for a second day after BoE governor Mervyn King was splashed across the nation's TV screens last night looking like a man who hasn't got a clue what he's doing.
He is of course a big mate of Gordon McBroon is it just me or does he always look like he's got a sly bit of chewy on the go? Or a caramel that he hasn't quite finished and is saving for later.
Having pretty much run out of bullets as far as rate cuts are concerned, Mr King says that the BoE is now ready to take "unconventional" monetary easing measures to revive the ailing economy.
The widely quoted "quantitative easing" - which it seems to me is otherwise known as printing more money. We'll be queuing up with a wheelbarrow full of "Aytron Senna's" just to buy the paper on a Sunday morning before long.
Supplies at Cushing, Oklahoma, where crude oil traded on Nymex is stored, rose 1. All this despite US refineries operating at Supply is still very clearly outstripping demand.
Read this interesting article in the China Daily "No rain in the country, no jobs in the cities" With more than 20 million migrant workers out of work, it maybe isn't surprising that the Chinese government might just be tempted to deliberately play down the true impact of the drought in northern China.
Suppose YOU were the Chinese government, what would you do? I don't think I'd be wanting to suggest that crop losses would be anything other than minimal, would you?
The Baltic Dry Index - the benchmark guide to drybulk shipping rates on 40 routes across the world - rose 81 points, or 4.
Demand to ship commodities such as coal, iron ore and wheat have boosted capesize vessel rates to a four-month high.
That demand is coupled with a lack of ships, as chartered vessels queue to at various ports around the world, and some lie fully laden, but idle, being used as giant floating storage containers.
There are at least 19 vessels waiting to load grain from ports in Western Australia, by far the country's biggest exporting state, according to Bloomberg.
What we are now seeing is improved demand from China as steel mills reopen after December shutdowns, and increased steel production in emerging markets India and Russia, experts say.
Steel makers were replenishing stock, while the results of government stimulus plans to kick start economies in China were now beginning to be felt, they added.
There could certainly be some more room on the upside for freight yet, as we are still a very long way from the index's all-time high of 11, set in May Since Tuesday to early Wednesday, heavier than expected showers fell in drought-stricken corn crop areas of Argentina.
A return to above normal, hot and dry weather conditions for the remainder of the week to next week are forecast. Some reports suggest that this is too little too late for corn, but for now it is a little early to say for sure.
Tomorrow's weekly export sales report estimates are , More rain in Argentina, concern over the global recession and the US stimulus package weighed on the market from the start.
Taiwan purchased 56, tonnes of US soybeans, apart from that there was little bullish impetus for beans. Weekly export sales estimates for tomorrow range from ,,mmt.
A return of market sentiment over the global economic downturn will decrease wheat demand gave bearish pressure to US wheat futures. EU wheat futures closed with very little change Wednesday on a dearth of fresh market news.
March Paris milling wheat finished down EUR0. London March feed wheat closed down GBP0. In the UK crop conditions lurch from bad to worse. Planting was done late, or not at all, in wet and claggy soil and things have gone largely downhill since then.
Snow, rain and sub-zero temperatures have subsequently combined to make crop development even further behind.
Still, many educated pundits suggest that the UK, EU and much of the rest of the world will produce wheat yields comparable, or only slightly down, on They could, of course, be talking absolute rubbish.
And indeed they almost certainly are. But these are the things that Dow Jones, Reuters, Bloomberg and the rest aren't allowed to say.
World wheat production in WILL be well down, you really don't have to be Einstein to work that out. Just like you didn't have to be overly blessed in the brains department to figure out that the opposite would be true in Yet in it seemed like very few could see past the end of their noses.
It WILL be down, much, much more than that. Disappointment over the US bank rescue plan seems to be the main reason for the decline.
The rescue package seems to carry a surprising lack of detail and that is disconcerting. Meanwhile here is what has fallen in the 24 hours to 9am local time this morning: Chinese trade data released today showed exports dropped The conclusion being if China isn't exporting, then it isn't going to be importing that's for sure.
And that of course is potentially bad news for grains as a whole. Yesterday's USDA numbers have already been consigned to today's chip wrappings.
If you can afford a bag of chips that is. Sterling had a nervy start to the day ahead of UK unemployment data, which was expected to show 88, job losses in January, pushing unemployment up from 1.
As it was the numbers weren't quite as bad as expected, coming in at 73, - keeping unemployment below the magical 2 million mark, albeit ever so slightly.
The pound rallied around a cent on the news. This would appear to give some further downwards room for manoeuvre on UK interest rates.
Many feel that a zero interest rate policy is warranted and if prices continue to plunge the risk of deflation may drive the MPC to oblige.
Objections to the campaign were raised as animal rights activists said it implied all UK pigs were well cared for.
The ads by the British Pig Executive was featured in national press, bill board posters and magazines. And well cared-for animals mean better quality meat…Help the pig farmers.
Sign our petition for fairer prices at pigsareworthit. From an official Chinese News Agency release: According to the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters, extremely low rainfall since late October has created an extremely unusual drought in north China, traditionally the country's breadbasket.
As of Monday, about million mu 9. In addition, 3. Henan, which produces a quarter of China's wheat, is worst hit. Since October, it has seen about 10 mm of rain, 80 percent less than average, making it the worst drought since The provincial government says about In neighbouring Anhui Province, drought has hit He warned the dry spell was forecast to continue and cause more losses.
The Agriculture Ministry has no estimates of wheat yield losses this year, but a senior weather official said on Feb.
Xiao Ziniu, director of the National Climate Center of the China Meteorological Administration, has warned the "once-in-a-half-century" drought will continue until next month.
The Anhui provincial government says the drought has caused losses of 1. Henan has published no estimated losses, but Party chief Xu Guangchun said the drought had affected people's livelihoods and could undermine social stability.
END It is interesting, is it not, that there are no official estimates as to how much production will be lost, yet they can tell us exactly how much the drought has cost in financial terms?
Why would they want to keep the true extent of any crop damage quiet? There is a clue methinks in "the drought had affected people's livelihoods and could undermine social stability.
We've got some buying to do first. Make no official announcement on losses but get some "senior official" to say it's only going to be The plot thickens.
Vivergo Fuels - the illegitimate love-child of an incestuous relationship between BP, British Sugar and DuPont - say that it's new plant at Saltend is expected to be in production in the summer of , taking in 1.
Vivergo have signed exclusive contracts with grain marketing business Frontier to procure all of the wheat for its feedstock. Under a similar agreement, animal feeds supplier KW Trident will market all the resulting co-products.
That's what we call a nice level playing field there then. Anyone for a game of Monopoly? For more info dial Saltend The number of UK jobless rose by 73, in January figures just released reveal, pegging the ranks of the great unemployed now at just a tad under 2 million.
Astonishingly, the figures were actually better than anticipated. An increase of 88, had been expected, taking unemployment over 2 million.
Production in Germany, the top EU producer, is seen at 5. In France production is estimated at 4. Here in the UK they predict output at 2mmt, considerably more than Strategie Grains' estimate of 1.
Now that figure of roughly unchanged production is interesting, as my broking chum Robert Kerr is adamant that UK production will be down substantially in So adamant in fact that he is willing to bet on it.
Poland incidentally are the third largest producer in the EU, knocking the UK into fourth slot. They are seen producing 2.
Poland: the new Aston Villa. The Baltic Dry Index, the benchmark guide to drybulk shipping rates on 40 routes across the world, rose 8.
After rising A London broker said fewer ships were available in Europe to meet charterers' needs for promptly available tonnage, which was why "better numbers" were being seen.
A large number of Black Sea and Mediterranean cargoes have come onto the market, with iron ore cargoes dominating the list, brokers said.
It also dropped Argy production quite sharply to These were towards the upper end of expectations in terms of around the largest losses expected.
This return to drought conditions will likely to continue increase stress to corn crops there. Mexico today purchased , tonnes of US corn which also added some support.
Nobody is sure what the implications are for wheat from drought in northern China. That seems to be sufficient to keep the market calm and allay any fears for now.
The USDA numbers didn't throw up too many surprises. The Argy wheat crop was dropped to 8. US wheat ending stocks were left unchanged, which was also in line with expectations.
For the EU crop more export business is needed before attention starts to focus on the crop. At first glance the USDA report looks bullish for soybeans and corn and neutral wheat.
They cut Argy soybean output by 5. They also lopped 2mmt off Brazilian production, which again was towards the higher end of what they were expected to do.
US soybean carryout was cut pretty much as expected. Argy corn production was also slashed by 3mmt, again probably by more than anticipated.
Brazilian corn output was left unchanged, a slight surprise as a modest cut had been anticipated. US corn carryout was left unchanged, that was a big surprise as just about everybody was predicting an increase in stocks, so that is seen as mildly bullish too.
Argy wheat production was cut by 1. Overall reaction is bullish beans, modestly bullish corn and neutral wheat. Early calls for this afternoon's CBOT session: beans up c, corn up c, wheat c higher.
Here is a quick summary of the main changes from last month: Feb Jan Aussie Wheat A bit of a surprise that they didn't drop Braz corn at all.
Argy wheat dropped in line with local exchange estimates. Seemingly inextricably linked for most of , this trend has been going on since October.
Let's see if breaking free of the shackles of crude is a sign that grains and oilseeds will be the commodities to lead us out of this recession.
The main thing that concerns me about this is that there seem to be too many other people thinking, or is it hoping, along the same lines.
I'd feel much more comfortable being a lone voice in the wilderness somehow. Still, freight rates are moving up, export business is being done.
The way I see it is that right now any export business is good export business, no matter who gets the order.
If anything god has come out of this whole mess, it might just be that some of the hot-shot whizz-kids in the city that have only just started shaving have now actually witnessed their first real bear market.
Maybe they will be a bit more cautious next time, or is that just wishful thinking? Blimey, I'm starting to sound like my Dad now. Of course I remember when all this was fields.
Schools Secretary, Ed Balls has embarrassed the government with his off-the-cuff remark that the current economic downturn is so severe that it would surpass even the Great Depression of the s.
We are being told not only that we are facing the worst recession in years, but that it will last for over a decade," said Shadow Chancellor George Osborne, not one to miss an opportunity.
Balls has made himself look all the more stupid as his Government has been busy telling us all that the economy will recover by the second half of the year!
Soybeans are around 5c higher, and wheat and corn c lower in light positioning ahead of the data. For soybeans expect the Argy crop to be reduced from In corn we can also expect to see the Argy crop cut from For US ending stocks it is expected that corn will be increased, soybeans decreased and wheat left roughly unchanged.
For corn that means going from 1. In other news Iraq bought ,mt Canadian, Australian, German and Russian wheat yesterday, whilst Tunisia bought 50,mt of any origin milling wheat.
Japan are in the market for their usual combo of US, Canadian and Australian wheat in a tender due to be concluded Thursday.
Of this 86,mt is expected to be US wheat. Nobody seems to know what is really going on in China, one minute they are having the worst drought for years, the next minute there isn't a problem.
The Baltic Dry Index, which measures drybulk shipping rates on 40 routes across the world, jumped more than 10 percent yesterday to close at 1, That was an increase of points from Friday, the index's biggest one day leap since rates bottomed at in December, and it's 15th consecutive daily gain.
Chinese demand for Brazilian iron ore is being cited as the trigger for the recent surge, along with Australia finally getting a decent wheat crop after two years of drought.
There are fewer vessels available on the market as shipping companies have drawn in their horns, sending vessels into dry dock for much-needed repairs rather than plying the seas at heavily discounted rates.
The recent phenomena of storing cheap commodities at sea, has also led to a reduction in available freight.
Eastern Australia is not normally a big wheat exporter, shipping just ,mt last year, but that figure could leap to more like 3mmt in , according to some shippers.
London May feed wheat closed up GBP0. On the export front Iraq bought ,mt Canadian, Australian, German and Russian wheat, whilst Tunisia bought 50,mt of any origin milling wheat from Bunge.
The trade is garnering some encouragement from any export business at the moment, no matter where it comes from.